Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.272339 0.316485 0.367204 0.430163 0.506741 0.597529 0.714300
2025-08-17 0.204665 0.260397 0.332054 0.432572 0.572604 0.764885 1.056312
2025-08-24 0.164668 0.223205 0.304746 0.429954 0.623582 0.922808 1.444096
2025-08-31 0.137458 0.195422 0.281264 0.422777 0.660956 1.067463 1.867913
2025-09-07 0.122065 0.180867 0.272756 0.434223 0.728072 1.279375 2.505391
2025-09-14 0.106561 0.163068 0.255186 0.425572 0.756222 1.428279 3.091649
2025-09-21 0.096389 0.151991 0.246301 0.429488 0.807933 1.641243 3.945890
2025-09-28 0.087348 0.141345 0.236149 0.428432 0.848717 1.845214 4.910661
2025-10-05 0.081676 0.135641 0.233756 0.441784 0.924102 2.162068 6.449318
2025-10-12 0.076355 0.129791 0.230056 0.451467 0.993879 2.495928 8.349369
2025-10-19 0.071547 0.124235 0.226006 0.459439 1.061989 2.858491 10.747462
2025-10-26 0.067905 0.120411 0.224794 0.473529 1.150829 3.332698 14.248812
2025-11-02 0.063635 0.114967 0.219685 0.478003 1.216948 3.778054 18.350978
2025-11-09 0.059544 0.109438 0.213678 0.479268 1.275410 4.237941 23.443470
2025-11-16 0.055568 0.103703 0.206440 0.475977 1.319432 4.674579 29.390088
2025-11-23 0.051689 0.097764 0.197971 0.467787 1.345391 5.056943 35.952039
2025-11-30 0.049575 0.095338 0.197228 0.480719 1.449550 5.889014 49.588341
2025-12-07 0.046286 0.090041 0.189054 0.470928 1.468595 6.313763 60.488392
2025-12-14 0.044113 0.086987 0.185903 0.475356 1.544462 7.125065 80.776044
2025-12-21 0.041828 0.083467 0.181180 0.474162 1.598465 7.868667 104.991287
2025-12-28 0.040535 0.082076 0.181619 0.489272 1.728214 9.254861 154.488177
2026-01-04 0.039126 0.080278 0.180792 0.500238 1.846019 10.721864 225.455961
2026-01-11 0.037726 0.078369 0.179437 0.509271 1.960448 12.340684 331.573174